After the withdrawal of American forces from Afghanistan, the fall of the republic, and the rise of the "Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan," although many analyses and perceptions were that Pakistan would largely dominate the new system and secure significant benefits and even more for itself, these speculations were further strengthened when, in the early days after the fall of Kabul, the media reported the arrival of a high-ranking Pakistani security official namely, the head of the ISI (Pakistan's military intelligence agency), General Faiz Hamid and published a picture of him drinking tea and walking in the lobby of a hotel in Kabul.
However, with the dominance of the Islamic Emirate's military and security forces over the entire geography of the country, the stabilization of the situation after the fall of the republic, the formation of an interim government, the appointment of caretaker heads for government bodies, the announcement of independence-oriented and neutral policies, the call for establishing peaceful relations and good neighborliness with neighbors, the search for ways for economic-oriented relations with regional countries, the setting of a red line for non-interference of countries in Afghanistan's internal affairs, and the persistence and resistance in defending these principles, it gradually became clear to everyone that the current Islamic system, contrary to previous perceptions, stands firmly on the national interests, independence, and freedom of the country.
In the meantime, Pakistan, in addition to its disappointment in achieving its goals - both in terms of its interests inside Afghanistan and in terms of its presence and effective role in cutting off Afghanistan's ties with some of its rival countries, such as India - has faced another serious challenge called the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP).
Therefore, Pakistan, in a move similar to “fleeing forward” and claiming that the TTP is connected to the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, has taken a series of measures against the current Afghan government and system, which include:
A. Political pressure: By accusing Afghanistan of providing shelter to armed insurgents and hiding places for terrorists.
B. Economic pressure: By creating obstacles in the trade and transit of Afghan export and import goods by closing border crossings.
C. Social pressure: Which is the most important of all. And according to evidence and clues, Pakistan has opened a special account on this matter. The policy of mass expulsion of Afghan refugees - especially in Afghanistan’s difficult economic conditions and the lack of capacity and readiness to accept this volume of refugees at once - can cause the country serious problems.
It seems that Pakistan is seeking to attract attention and financial resources from some countries in the issue of forced deportation of refugees, given its unstable internal situation, including security, political and economic problems, and has played a dangerous game in this regard.
D. And now security pressure: But at the same time as social pressure intensifies, evidence indicates that Pakistan is also seeking to create security pressure on Afghanistan and the Islamic Emirate government. As yesterday, Zalmay Khalilzad - the former US representative for Afghan peace - mentioned in a short tweet a very important and dangerous issue: that Pakistan may use the cover of "refugees" to bring terrorist individuals and groups into Afghanistan.
Although Zabihullah Mujahid, the spokesman for the Islamic Emirate, has announced that all refugees will be biometrically scanned upon entry at the Afghan borders and that there is no need to worry, the issue that Khalilzad mentioned is not a simple issue that can be ignored simply by biometrics of refugees.
Given Pakistan’s invitation to the opponents of the Islamic Emirate to hold a secret meeting, the trip of a number of Pakistani officials to the occupied Palestinian territory and a meeting with officials of the Zionist regime – news of which has been leaked to the media – as well as the trip and meeting of the representative of ISIS in Iraq and the Levant with the commanders of ISIS Khorasan in Pakistani soil, this suspicion was already present among many regional experts and analysts.
However, Khalilzad’s reference to this issue, since he has a relatively complete understanding of the situation in South Asia – especially Pakistan and Afghanistan – thanks to his connection with the US intelligence services and his previous mission in the region, adds to the importance and sensitivity of this issue.
Therefore, assuming that this story is true, Pakistan may be pursuing several goals simultaneously by implementing this project:
1. Dominance over Afghanistan and influence in its governance and political layers
Since Pakistan has lost its information influence and dominance in the recent developments in Afghanistan, it may, out of fear of its regional rivals - especially India - seek to regain its dominance and influence in the decision-making and policy-making layers of the country by destabilizing the situation in Afghanistan.
2. Attracting the attention and support of the international community on the issue of TTP
Pakistan has practically failed in combating the armed group Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), especially after the publication of news that this group has been equipped with anti-tank laser weapons and has increased its deadly attacks against Pakistani military forces. Therefore, it is possible that Pakistan, by transferring terrorist groups to Afghan soil and creating insecurity there, will pretend that the source of TTP attacks in Pakistan is Afghan soil. As a result, the international community must intervene and help Pakistan confront this threat.
3. Implementation of regional and trans-regional intelligence objectives
Given the history of the performance of Pakistan’s military and security institutions – especially its army – Pakistan has always been one of the implementing parties of the intelligence and security projects of the hegemonic powers in the region. Therefore, it is likely that this project is also in line with the same policies and past practices of this country in the geography of South Asia.
In any case, regardless of the truth or falsehood of this matter, this is a serious warning to the Islamic Emirate to be more vigilant and vigilant than ever before and, with all its might, and in coordination and companionship with the people, not to allow such hostile and destructive projects to be implemented against the country again.