1- Immediate consequences for Israel and America: breaking the illusory peace

Israel, which has always considered Nasrallah as one of its biggest threats, may see his assassination as a short-term victory. But will such a victory restore security to Israel's borders? Most likely, no. Hezbollah has been established as a guerilla and resistance force against Israel for years, and this assassination will only strengthen the motivation and unity of the resistance forces.

For America, this event could lead to a new strategic crisis. The United States, which is already facing multiple challenges in the Middle East, will face an increase in anti-American protests. The people of the region, who see Nasrallah as a symbol of resistance and independence, will probably attribute his assassination to America's support for Israel. A wave of public anger against America could expose American bases in the region to serious attacks and create more challenges for the security of American forces.

 

2- New challenges for Israel: civil wars and regional threats

Along with external consequences, Israel may also face internal challenges. Internal differences between political parties, ethnic tensions and social divisions can intensify after Nasrallah's assassination. A part of the Israeli society, who are tired of continuing wars and tensions, may put more pressure on the government to review its policies towards Lebanon and the resistance. Increasing violence on Israel's northern borders and fears of rocket attacks will also fuel internal security concerns.

 

3- New challenges for America: reducing influence and political changes in the region

The United States, which is currently facing fierce competition from powers such as China and Russia, may face a reduction in its influence in the Middle East following this assassination. The countries of the region, which have always sought balance of power, may gradually tend towards more cooperation with the eastern powers. These changes can lead to the reduction of American political and economic influence in the Middle East and even lead to a revision of the relations of some Arab countries with Israel.

Resistance-oriented reaction: explosion of anger and unity

In the axis of resistance, which consists of Iran, Syria and Palestinian armed groups, the assassination of Nasrallah will be a call for an all-out war. The Islamic Republic of Iran, as the main supporter of Hezbollah and under the leadership of Imam Khamenei, will consider this attack as a threat against itself and its allies in the axis of resistance. In this situation, Iran will probably strengthen the military and political power of the resistance axis and start wider military and diplomatic measures.

The resistance forces in Lebanon, Palestine and Syria will most likely respond to Nasrallah's assassination with massive attacks on Israeli positions and American interests in the region. Missile attacks and guerilla conflicts can ignite a new war in the Middle East, the cause of which is none other than Israel and the United States, and its consequences beyond Israel's borders will also affect the United States and other supporters of the Zionist regime.

 

Long-term effects: the awakening of nations and the spread of the ideology of resistance

Seyyed Hassan Nasrallah's martyrdom, although it will be a heavy blow to Hezbollah in the short term, but in the long term, it can lead to further expansion and strengthening of the resistance ideology. Nasrallah is not just one person; He is a representative of the thinking that is in the hearts of the nations of the region. This thinking of resistance against oppression and occupation will not only not disappear after the martyrdom of Nasrallah, but may turn into a wave of awakening and unity of nations.

As the main supporter of the resistance, Iran will use this event to strengthen the front and promote the ideology of the resistance. This opportunity will allow Iran to play a more prominent role in the leadership of the resistance axis and create a new solidarity among the resistance groups.

On the other hand, today the ideology and thinking of resistance has penetrated the traditional borders of the Islamic and Arab countries of the region and resonated in the hearts of European countries, America and even Africa, so that during the past year, we have witnessed beautiful scenes of companionship and empathy of consciences. We were awakened in the West, especially among the youth, in support of the oppressed people of Palestine and especially Gaza. We also see this influence at the leadership level of some governments, where the South African government took the lead in suing the Israeli regime in international forums, especially the Hague International Court.

 

Conclusion: The victory of the ideology of resistance

Finally, the assassination and martyrdom of Seyed Hassan Nasrallah, although it will be considered a heavy blow for Hezbollah and the resistance, but it can be a new beginning for the resistance movement in the Middle East. Israel and the US may see this assassination as a short-term victory, but its long-term consequences are likely to benefit the resistance axis and expand its thinking. Also, it is very important to remember the role of Martyr General Qassem Soleimani in supporting the resistance front in this situation.